Cortana

The engine that replaces the job. A multi-layer trading system I own, understand, and continuously improve. Short-term cash generation funds the operation. Swing compounds. Trend positions for macro cycles. All layers feed a unified signal hub that is the future commercial product.

State

  • Owner: Cody Smith (solo operator)
  • Architecture: Hub-and-spoke. See concepts/hub-and-spoke-signal-engine.md.
  • Regulatory shape: Publisher, not advisor. Never FINRA/SEC registered. See concepts/publisher-not-advisor.md.
  • Validation mandate: Paper first, capital second. See concepts/paper-first-capital-second.md.
  • Infrastructure: IBKR Pro + IB Gateway + Python + ib_async on Mac. Claude Code for implementation velocity.
  • Primary repo: ~/conductor/workspaces/cortanaroi-mk2/ (trading engine)
  • Brain repo: ~/brain/cDSe2403/cortanaroi-brain

Layers

Layer 1 - 0DTE Cash Generation

  • Purpose: Daily cash flow from 0DTE SPY signals
  • Target: 10% wins, 80% win rate
  • Status: Beta MK2 built. Paper trading. XGBoost signal layer with walk-forward + purged CV validation.

Layer 2 - Swing Trades

  • Purpose: Compound capital on 2-5 day swing trajectories
  • Status: John Neal building beta. I integrate beta → production into the Cortana hub, apply Layer 1 validation discipline, wire IBKR execution.

Layer 3 - Trend Trades

  • Purpose: Longer holds on congressional disclosures, insider filings, macro regime signals. Munger 200-week MA framework + economic moat thinking.
  • Status: Not built. Deliberate sequencing - Layer 1 must prove live first.

Key Metrics

  • Win rate target: 80% (8/10 trades) - hard mandate
  • Latency principle: “Early and right” beats “late and confirmed”
  • Validation: Walk-forward + purged cross-validation per López de Prado

Open Threads

  • Paper→live threshold: [No data yet] - specific validation metrics that graduate a layer from paper to small live sleeve
  • Signal service API: [No data yet] - what fields subscribers consume, pricing tiers, go-to-market
  • Securities attorney: [No data yet] - engagement status for publisher/ advisor line review before signal service launch
  • Trader Tax Status: Filing with CPA. Section 475(f) election to evaluate.

See Also

  • writing/2026-04-23-cortana-north-star.md - full north star doc
  • concepts/hub-and-spoke-signal-engine.md
  • concepts/publisher-not-advisor.md
  • concepts/paper-first-capital-second.md
  • concepts/three-layer-thesis.md
  • concepts/cortana-is-the-asset.md

Timeline

2026-04-23 - North star filed

North star document written and filed to brain. Seven foundational pages created: this project root, one writing page (verbatim north star), and five concept pages capturing the load-bearing ideas.